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Market Analysis · South Harlem · July 2026

228 Lenox Avenue

A pricing and demand assessment for a 6,152 sq ft single-family townhouse, benchmarked against 14 comparable properties within a six-block radius.

The Recommendation

Accept the standing offer.

The submarket for South Harlem townhouses trading in the $3.0M–$3.5M band is thinly populated by qualified buyers and priced-in inventory. Holding the current ask exposes the seller to further days-on-market drift in a segment already averaging 202 days to contract at a 97% list-to-sale ratio.

The offer on the table reflects — and in some respects outperforms — the clearing price the data supports. The rest of this report shows the numbers behind that conclusion.

At a glance — The South Harlem townhouse market
$3.55M
Avg list / sale
$744
Avg $ / sq ft
202 days
Avg to contract
97%
List-to-sale ratio
1
Closed sale (12 mo)
3
In contract
11
Active listings
15 : 1
Active-to-sold ratio
The Headline

Supply is stacked. Demand is not.

Across a six-block radius of 228 Lenox we identified 15 comparable listings in the $3.0M–$4.85M range. Only one has closed in the tracking window — 32 West 119th Street at $3.10M — while eleven remain active, several past 200 days on market and two beyond a year. The three properties currently in contract carry an average of 220 days on market before securing a buyer.

The ratio of standing supply to absorbed transactions is roughly 15 to 1. A buyer looking for a South Harlem townhouse under $5M today has more than a dozen options and no urgency — the opposite of the environment that supports holding out for asking price.

Price by status
StatusAvg Price$/ft²DOMCount
Sold$3,100,000241
In contract$3,216,667$7282203
Active$3,679,091$75021311
Subject (228 Lenox)$4,295,000$6981111
The Case

Why the $3.5M townhouse buyer pool is thin.

Removing the multi-family stock — two- to four-family income properties trade against a different buyer profile — the true single-family / townhouse comp set in South Harlem at $3.0M–$5.0M narrows to eight listings. Of those:

  • 0have closedin the tracking window.
  • 1is in contract146 West 119th at $3.45M — after 109 days.
  • 6remain activeTwo past 200 days; one beyond a year.
  • 2sit above $4M228 Lenox and 32 W 120th #1 — no closed comps at the high end.

In other words, at the price band a rational buyer is likely to counter into — $3.3M to $3.6M — there is essentially no proven clearing price for a South Harlem townhouse in 2026. A closed transaction anywhere in that range would immediately become the market's reference point.

Engagement Signal
1,095
228 Lenox views
72
Saves
50
Shares

228 Lenox has out-performed the active-listing average (709 views / 33 saves / 24 shares) over 111 days, and its engagement profile mirrors that of the three properties that ultimately went into contract (avg 1,297 views). The market has seen the listing. The buyer that materialized is the buyer the market produced.

Comparable set

15 South Harlem listings, $3.0M–$4.85M

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Next step

The offer is defensible, the segment is soft, and the calendar is not on the seller's side.